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Since May, methanol from 3,100 Yuan futures dropped from highs near the current 2,700 dollars, just two months more than 10%. Here is the macroscopic effects of risk events such as the European debt crisis, but internal methanol itself a larger change in fundamentals. Cost of weakening of support led to the round a sharp fall in the prices of the main reason of methanol. DomesticMethanol is mainly made of coal chemical industry route, coal prices in the cost accounts for a larger proportion of methanol. So far this year, decline in fixed asset investment in coal industry, the coal price control, the effects of import surges and port and high inventories, domestic coal a more substantial price decreases. A case study of Qinhuangdao port 5,800 kcal of steam coal, early prices from 850 Yuan/ton, Until the end of June, the price had dropped to 780 Yuan/ton. The other hand, the sharp decline in crude oil prices also contributed to the decline in methanol prices. International crude oil decreased for the past two months has reached 20%. Prospect of methanol trend in the second half, I think methanol would shock rise above the price is expected to return to 3,000 yuan. One is the domestic economy is expected to be bottoming out in the second half. The near futurePublished by China's manufacturing purchasing managers ' index (PMI) fell to 48.2 for the 7-month low. In the domestic "steady growth" under the aegis of thought, this year the Central Bank has twice cut the reserve, and in June cut interest rates for the first time. Domestic inflationary pressures gradually ease monetary policy continued to relax for the future provides a certain amount of space. Periphery of Europe than expected twistGo, for the recovery of the domestic economy has brought positive signals guild wars 2 power leveling. Coming with punches while monetary and fiscal policy, will appear more clearly in the second half of the domestic economy rebounded. B is the power of coal and crude oil prices are expected to stabilise. Steam coal after fell sharply in the first half, in the process of economic recovery in the second half, improvement in consumer prices will certainly support. Crude oilUnder the influence of factors of Hurricane oil peaks in summer and winter, trends in the second half, the relatively strong shocks. Steam coal and crude oil prices stabilising basically closed the methanol to fall. Demand in the lower third, methanol can be significantly warmer. In accordance with past seasonal patterns, from July to October, methanol production is paving the way for downtime at home and abroad gw2 power leveling, while downstream product of dimethyl ether from methanol, formaldehydeIs progressively entering consumption season, downstream demand better making methanol prices often rising shock occurred at this time. In conclusion, I believe that rising futures prices in the second half will shock of methanol, but events staged by the European debt crisis the hype effect, methanol can hardly be a clear continuous rally. Methanol in the second half of the dollar weakened stage gap, usher in a round of rally.(Author: ping an Futures Research Institute) (mouhongbo of the securities times)